STAMFORD, Conn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Salaries will be on the rise in 2010 at many companies across the U.S., according to recent research from Towers Perrin. This is a significant shift from the lockdown many organizations placed on compensation budgets during 2009. In fact, 65% of companies that froze salary budgets in 2009 will unfreeze them in 2010. Yet most companies report continued uncertainty and lack of confidence in the near term, and are therefore limiting annual merit increases accordingly.
“Companies are making an effort to gradually return some sense of normalcy to compensation budgets in the coming year”
Just one-third of those surveyed anticipate significant improvement in business conditions for their industry or organization by the close of next year’s second quarter. As a result, the median salary increase for employees, excluding those who received no increase at all, will be only about 3% in 2010 -- an increase relative to 2009 at many companies, but down from the nearly 4% median increase seen in the pre-recession days of 2007. Simultaneously, in 2010, companies plan to put more emphasis on differentiating the pay increases they do grant as part of their strategy to retain key talent.
“Companies are making an effort to gradually return some sense of normalcy to compensation budgets in the coming year,” said Ravin Jesuthasan, Towers Perrin Managing Principal. “But in the current environment, ‘normal’ is a relative concept. Employees coming off a year with no salary increases or bonuses will likely appreciate a small bump in compensation, even if it is noticeably off from pre-recession norms.”
In 2009, companies made a number of cuts to employee compensation programs in an effort to reduce expenses and perhaps avoid layoffs. In total, 43% of companies polled froze salary budgets for 2009; 25% cut back on employer 401(k) contributions, and 17% reduced hours worked for some or all employees. For 2010, the plan is to slowly reverse these strategic cuts as businesses take thoughtful actions to balance the competing needs of cost reduction and talent management. In the coming year, just 17% of companies polled plan to have a salary freeze in place and, 7% will reinstate salaries across the board.
Employee 401(k) plans should also see modest improvements in 2010. Of all companies polled, 10% plan to increase employer 401(k) contributions in 2010. Among those companies that cut back on the 401(k) match in 2009, the change is more dramatic; in this group, a full 35% are planning to increase their 401(k) contributions next year.
Companies in many countries around the globe share the U.S. group’s conservative outlook on 2010, with projected median salary increases around 3.0% or less. On the opposite end of the spectrum, employers in the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and certain high- inflation economies are projecting faster salary growth, with expected 2010 salary increases of 7.0% or higher, according to Towers Perrin’s 2009-2010 Global Compensation Planning Survey conducted in summer 2009.
Retention in the Recovery
Despite the projected compensation increases, companies appear to be growing concerned about retaining their high-performing top employees and those in pivotal roles once hiring picks up. According to the Towers Perrin research, 70% of companies are very or somewhat concerned about losing key talent as a result of the cutbacks made during the recession.
